Workshop 2 (February 5th 2000)

The North Atlantic Oscillation and Climate Variability

Sample Questions you can use related to this topic for student investigations:

By Dr. Michael Passow

Here are some examples of questions that correlate with NY standards. You might find these types of questions in future Regents Exams.

The chart below presents a comparison of selected atmospheric and oceanic conditions in the western Pacific and Eastern Pacific during the “long-term-average” and an “El Nino”  event.  Use this chart and your knowledge of science to answer the questions below.

Multiple-choice: 

_____Compared with the “long-term-average” in the eastern Pacific, surface air pressure during an “El Nino” event

1.    decreases and rainfall decreases

2.    decreases and rainfall increases

3.    increases and rainfall decreases

4.    increases and rainfall increases

_____During an “El Nino” event, the warm water layer near the surface in the western Pacific

1.    becomes shallower as cold water upwells from below

2.    becomes thicker as winds blow warm water from east-to-west

3.    remains the same thickness as during “long-term average” conditions

4.    varies with longitude

Constructed response:

Explain the affect warmer water in the eastern Pacific during an “El Nino” event would have on the area’s surface air pressure and rainfall patterns.

Describe two changes in oceanic conditions in the western Pacific during and “El Nino” event compared with “long-term-average” conditions.

Explain why using “sea surface temperature anomaly” patterns are more useful to oceanographers than using actual sea surface temperatures.

The chart below shows the pattern of sea level pressure differences between two selected locations.  This is called the “North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index.”

[Source: J. Hurrell, from http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/programs/index.html] 

Impacts that have been associated with a  positive NAO value include: warmer winter temperatures and fewer snow days in northeastern North America; longer growing seasons in Scandinavia, and greater rainfall and river runoff in the Central US.  Impacts associated with a negative NAO value include: warmer sear surface temperatures, more and stronger hurricanes in the tropical Atlantic and Gulf Coast; greater scallop harvests in eastern Long Island; and increased grade and olive harvests in Spain and Portugal.

Explain whether these data support the theory of Northern Hemisphere warming during the last fifty years.           

[Use the “NAO Index” chart above for the following multiple-choice questions.]

_____During most of the past fifteen years, the NAO has helped create in Europe and the northeastern U.S. winters that were

1.    colder than normal

2.    milder than normal

3.    near the average

_____Very severe winters in Europe associated with a strongly negative NAO occurred in

1.    1870, 1925, 1970

2.    1892, 1904, 1955

3.    1904, 1982, 1987

4.    1916, 1936, 1969